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Secobra Group · Copenhagen

We price the fight before the bell.

A Danish-registered fund investing in combat-sports markets. Our engineers model every bout, and we only act when the odds are wrong.

Talk to the team →See how we price
The edge

Two numbers. One decision.

The bookmaker's odds say how likely a fighter is to win. Our model says something else. When the gap is big enough, we take a position, sized by formula. When it isn't, we wait.

Pricing engineExample
Fighter A vs Fighter B@ 2.40
Market (fair, after margin)40.1%
Secobra model47.5%
Edge+7.4 pts
Stake · ¼ Kelly2.0% NAV

Simulated examples to show the method. Not real positions or forecasts.

Japanese discipline. Scandinavian patience. Croatian heart.

DisciplineStakes follow a formula with hard caps. Nobody overrides it by hand.
PatienceMost fights, we pass. Results are judged over hundreds of bouts.
HeartThe founders invest their own money alongside investors.
Discipline · Position sizing

Every stake is set by rule, not by feel.

A fractional Kelly formula sizes each position from the edge and the odds, with caps per fight and per event.

Secobra Group emblem
Patience · Selection

Most nights we do nothing.

If the edge doesn't clear the bookmaker margin, we stay out.

Heart · Alignment

Founders invest alongside investors.

The engineers who write the models have their own capital in the fund. When investors lose, so do we.

Own capital inSmall teamDirect line to foundersMonthly reports
Process

From fight data to a position.

The same five steps before every event. Tested, versioned and reviewed like production software.

  1. CollectFight records, striking and grappling stats, weigh-ins and line movement across bookmakers.
  2. ModelWin and method-of-victory probabilities for every fighter on the card.
  3. CompareStrip the bookmaker margin and compare the fair price to our estimate.
  4. StakeOpen positions above the edge threshold, sized by rule, spread across books.
  5. ReviewCheck closing line and calibration after each card, then retrain.
Team

Engineers in the corner.

Three software engineers of Croatian origin, based in Denmark, running the fund the way they build software.

Ivor Baričević

Co-founder

Matej Stošić

Co-founder

Ivan Knežević

Co-founder
Investors

Built for international investors.

Performance reports, fund documents and terms are shared privately with eligible investors after an introductory call and onboarding checks.

Domicile
Denmark
Office
Copenhagen
Investor reporting
Monthly
Risk warning

Betting-based strategies carry a high level of risk, and results can swing sharply from one period to the next. You can lose some or all of the capital you invest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Nothing on this website is an offer to sell, or a solicitation to buy, any investment.

Contact

Step into the cage.

Send a short introduction and the country you invest from. We reply within two working days.

support@secobragroup.com

Copenhagen · Denmark